Week 15

Week 15: 0-2

Overall: 31-22-2 (58%)

+13 units

1*: .66-.75 Unit

2*: 1 Unit

3*: 1.3-1.5 Units

4*: 1.5-1.66 Units

5*: 2+ Units

Line listed is the consensus line when game is posted, and these will be what I use for my record. View individual write ups for specific star changes if the line is different.

3* Pittsburgh -2 over G.B.

I know what you're thinking...is this guy crazy? Pittsburgh lost to the Browns, Oakland, and K.C. and now he is betting them against the Packers who are redhot. Exactly! This is what I like to call a "typical NFL game". When one team has hit rock bottom (as Pittsburgh clearly has) and another team is hot, the team that is playing badly steps up and gets the win. There have only been 3 other teams the last 30 years to have lost 3 or more consecutive games as a 7 point (or more) favorite in each of the previous 2 games. The other 3 that did this won and covered the next game. It's even better that the Steelers are likely out of the playoffs, so they are just playing for pride! GB has been largely a product of their astounding +18 turnover ratio which is not likely to continue. The Steelers stats actually match up well with GB also. Take Pitt big!

Pit 37 GB 36

This was one of the most disgusting losses. Tomlin then made one of the worst calls I had ever seen. With Pittsburgh up 2 (and the line at a push) with under 4 minutes left he kicked an onside kick. Talk about no confidence in your defense! GB went on to score and Pitt gave up a 2 point conversion that turned out to be killer (who goes for 2 when your up 4...really!). To twist the knife the Steelers went on to score and win by 1...disgusting. I knew the Steelers would win and I assumed they would cover the 2 points, but I was wrong.

3* K.C. -2 over Cleveland

I am not going to bore you with stats on this game because both teams are bad. I love KC because the Browns are coming off a huge division rival win against Pitt and that puts KC in a great situational position (82-31 against the spread). KC is off 3 consecutive losses including the last 2 at home, with this being their 3rd home game this puts them in an even better position for the win. Love the Chiefs here!

Cle 41 KC 34

When I bet against the Browns I didn't think that they had signed Jim Brown again. Harrison had a career day running for 286 yards and gasing the Chiefs worthless defense. B. Quinn had a typical day throwing for 66 yards. The Browns have now completed a total of 29 passes in their 3 wins. The Clowns...can't win with them, can't win without them.