Week 12
Week 12: 3-2
Overall: 24-18-2 (57%)
+9.1 units
1*: .66-.75 Unit
2*: 1 Unit
3*: 1.3-1.5 Units
4*: 1.5-1.66 Units
5*: 2+ Units
Line listed is the consensus line when game is posted, and these will be what I use for my record. View individual write ups for specific star changes if the line is different.
2* Denver +6 over NY Giants
WINNER
Denver has been playing poorly recently with 4 consecutive losses but I think they get the win here. The Giants are coming across country on a short week and will be ripe for the upset. The Bronco's D is strong and will shut down the Giants' struggling offense.
Denver 26 NYG 6
As expected Denver's D was back in full effect and shut down the G-men. Never in question!
3* Chicago +11 over Minnesota
With Da Bears off 3 consecutive losses I think they are in good position for the upset here. Cutler's mistakes have been killing the Bears but I think he gets back on track versus a Viking D that allows 250 YPG in the air. I also like money line small here because of the big comeback (+450).
Min 36 Chi 10
This was total domination. The Vikings handled the Bears easy and it was never a game. Cutler continues to play terrible...ugly.
2* Tenn -2 over Arizona
WINNER
The Titans are smoking hot and face a Zona team that is 5-0 on the road this year. Bottom line, Zona isn't going to go 8-0 on the road. The Titans are tops in the league in rushing offense (5.3 YPG) and Zona is 16th versus the run. Young should have a good game versus a bad Zona D that allows 11.7 YPP (27th).
Tenn 20 Arizona 17
Hope you all took my advice and waited for this to come down to 2. The Titans actually dominated this game (530 versus 290 total yards) but it took a 99 yard drive by Young to get the win. What a drive and win!!!
3* NY Jets -3 over Carolina (Upgraded)
WINNER
The Jets are playing badly and they will bounce back today. In the NFL, just when you think a team can't play worse is when they play better. Carolina won't be able to run the ball against a good Jets D (3.9 YPG) and this is Carolina's bread and butter. The Jets will be able to control the clock by running the ball against a Carolina D that allows 4.7 YPR (28th). Jets get the W here.
NYJ 17 Car 6
The Jets shut down the Panthers run as predicted and forced Delhomme to throw 4 picks...I love it!
2* Houston +3.5 over Indy
Indy won't go undefeated and I think they lose their first on the road against a solid Houston team. The Texans are 3rd in the league in passing and will exploit an Indy D that is 20th (220 YPG).
Ind 35 Hou 27
This was an ugly loss. Up 17-0 and +3.5 at home is usually good...but not in the National Foney (phonetic spelling of course) League. A pick 6 and a Shaub fumble in the 4th put this game away...just ugly.
