Every week Byeweekpicks has full analysis and multiple picks. Below is an example of a typical week (week 10 during 09-10 season and Super Bowl XLIV).
2009-2010 Record
37-24-4 (61%)
Units
+16.3 Units
2008-2009 Review
The season didn't start well as I began 1-7 after week 4, but what a comeback! Byeweekpicks finished the year at 37-24-4 for a great 61%. BWP was + 16.3 units on the year meanting that you doubled your bankroll if you wagered 6% per unit..all we did this year was sit back and watch the green grow like the grass wet.
1*: .66-.75 Unit
2*: 1 Unit
3*: 1.3-1.5 Units
4*: 1.5-1.66 Units
5*: 2+ Units
5* GB +3 over Dallas *Underdog Game of the Year*
WINNER
It's here...BWP's 5* underdog GOY!!! Here's what I want you to do. Go to the bank, take out a loan for 10 stacks of high society, get a flight to your favorite vacation destination and make sure there is a layover in Vegas. During your layover go to the Mandalay Bay and lay your 10 stacks of high society on the Packers. No need to watch the game, you'll be sippin' a Mai Tai while the Pack are whipping on the Cowboys. I love the Pack today. Dallas is off 4 consecutive wins including a huge primetime win on the road against division rival Philadelphia Eagles. On the other hand, GB is off back to back losses including a loss as a 9.5 point fav to one of the worst teams in the league (T.B.). Dallas won't be able to run the ball against the Pack's D that allows only 3.5 YPR (2nd in NFL). Romo is also going to have a rough day against a D that allows only 185 YPG and are 4th in INT's. I smell a couple picks for the inconsistent Romo. On the other side of the ball GB will be able to run well as they average 4.5 YPR (10th). I see Rogers have a monster of a game against the Cowboys who are near the bottom of the league allowing 234 YPG. There is a great trend that is 94-28 ATS favoring the Pack. I usually only have one or two 5* per year because it is rare when it all comes together. In this game it does. The stats, trends, and situations all favor the Pack. Also, the public loves betting Dallas so that is why this line is scewed...take advantage!
GB 17 Dal 7
GB's defense controlled this game. GB couldn't move the ball the first half and it was 3-0. After they went up 10-0 I knew it was over. Dallas never could get a drive together and GB had the ball for 36 minutes compared to Dallas' 24. Romo came through with 2 picks (as predicted above). BIG 5* WINNER!!!
4* SF -3 over Chicago
WINNER
I love the niners in this game! The niners are off 4 losses and Chicago will be traveling on a short week. This all adds up to blowout city! San Fran leads the league in rush D (3.4 YPR) which will put pressure on Cutler who has proven he cannot produce. The Niners have a good rush game and should be able to eat up the Bears weak D. Singletary will have his team ready for this one. I am keeping this a 4*.
SF 10 Chi 6
Talk about a sweater! I have to give Jay Cutler my winnings for this game. He threw 5 picks including 2 in the red zone with one in the end zone to end the game. SF's D played tough, but their O was lacking. They had a missed FG and couldn't punch it in when they had 1st and goal inside the 5. So, this game was closer than it should have been. All that matter is that we got the win...BIG 4* WINNER!
2* St. Louis +14 over N.O.
WINNER
NO should not be a 14 point fav on the road. Bad teams off byes are very good plays at home and I like the Rams.
NO 28 St Lou 23
Though N.O. controlled most of this game it was very even with each team gaining about 430 yards. The Rams had the ball 4 more minutes and the Saints had 3 turnovers to the Rams 1. But, as bad teams do the Rams found a way to lose...but they covered and that's all that really matters!
1* Ten -8 over Buff
WINNER
Tenn is hot and they are playing loose with Young at the helm and I think they get the easy win here.
Ten 41 Buf 17
Nobody gets the wagons circled on them like the Buffalo Bills...easy winner.
Super Bowl XLIV
2* New Orleans +5.5 over Indianapolis
WINNER
It's here…the big game! This game is so analyzed that usually the oddsmakers are right on the money. But, sometimes they have to compensate for the abnormal large amount of money that will be wagered on the Super Bowl. I think that is what happened this year. My math system actually has this game at a pick 'em. Now, Vegas knows that if they made this a pick 'em that every square from here to Bangladesh would be all over the Colts (65% of wagers are on Indy as of Saturday afternoon). Over $80 million is wagered in legally Nevada on the Super Bowl and it is estimated that 98% of the action this Sunday is wagered illegally. They can't risk that kind of exposure. Bettors have too short of a memory. If this game was on a neutral field during week 14 (when they were undefeated) it would probably Indy -2 (to compensate for the nation's love of Peyton Manning). But, because the Saints have not been as dominant, they fail to look at the entire body of work. The Saints average 4.5 YPR (5th in the NFL) and Brees averages 8.3 YPPA (3rd). I think they will be able to run effectively versus a Colts D that allows 4.3 YPR (16th) and 127 YPG (24th). I dont think Freeney will play and if he does he won't be effective and it will hurt the Colts. On the other side of the ball Indy has the worst rushing offense in the league, but they had this all year and still failed to lose a meaningful game. As usual, it comes down to stopping Manning but here's a hint, nobody can do that. If you pressure him he'll hit the hot route and if you don't he just sits back and picks you apart. But, Manning has been known to choke in the postseason. Remember, Manning's record is only 8-8 in the postseason and he has thrown 26 TD's to his 17 INT's (as compared to a 2:1 TD:INT ratio during his regular season career). Even when the Colts won the Super Bowl he had a terrible postseason throwing only 2 TD's to his 6 INT's for an abysmal 66.8 passer rating. Peyton's brilliance stems from his study of film, but I think the Sean Peyton will have some different looks in store for him and Manning will make a critical mistake. In a game which neither team will effectively stop the other give me the points with the Saints! I think New Orleans has a good chance for an upset and I like the money line (+180) for a small play in addition to taking them +5.5.
N.O. 31 Indy 17
WOW!!!!!!!!! What a prediction by BWP!!! I was right on the money with the Manning prediction (see italics) and he choked big time. With 5:40 left in the game and the score tied at 17 Manning threw a pick 6 to put the game out fo reach. Money line and +5.5 winner!!! What a way to end the year.
