2010 Record

29-16-2 (64%)

+15.1 Units

What a year for byeweekpicks.com!!! I was 29-16-2 (64%) which brought a 60% return on your money. This was my fifth consecutive winning season and I look to continue it in 2011. Below is an example of my analysis which will be available each week.

Super Bowl XLV

1*: .66-.75 Unit

2*: 1 Unit

3*: 1.3-1.5 Units

4*: 1.5-1.66 Units

5*: 2+ Units

Line listed is the consensus line when game is posted, and these will be what I use for my record. View individual write ups for specific star changes if the line is different.

All rankings are based on yards/rush and yards/pass attempt-this is more accurate than total yards.

3* Green Bay -2.5 over Pitt

WINNER

The Super Bowl is usually a tough game to cap, but BWP is 4-0 since posting its picks and let's hope it continues. My math system has the Pack as 2 point favorites, so the number is on the money. I think that these defenses are equal and the difference is going to be the Packers explosive passing game. Pittsburgh's pass game is average (14th in the NFL with 235 YPG) and will face an awesome GB pass D that was 3rd during the regular season (6.5 YPPA). You always hear about the Steeler's "great" run attack, but they only average 4 YPR (18th during the regular season) and 120 YPG (11th). GB's run D during the regular season was average, but during the postseason they have only allowed an astounding 70 YPG. Don't underestimate the importance of the offensive line injuries for the Steelers. The game is won in the trenches. It's no secret that GB didn't even try to run the ball during, but during the postseason they have been running well. Rogers has been on fire and during the regular season he was 2nd (8.1 YPPA). Pittsburgh is vulnerable against pass happy teams. They lost to the Saints week 8 (20-10) and gave up 305 yards passing and they lost to New England week 10 (39-26) where they gave up 350 passing yards. Every so many years we see the changing of the guards in the NFL...this is Green Bay's time!