Bye Week Picks


Let This Be Your Bye Week
Every week Byeweekpicks has full analysis as you see below.  In this summary I only include through week 3.

2006-2007
Overall                     
51-38-2 (57%)          
4* Best Bets
10-6 (63%)
Units
+13.9                       
5* GOY                      
1-0                         
Playoffs
4-2

Byeweekpicks entered the Hilton Supercontest in Las Vegas this year.  We had a very profitable year hitting 57% of our picks and going 10-6 (63%) on our best bets.  Our personal regular season record was 31-21-3 (60%), but what makes the Hilton Contest so tough is that you are forced to take five games and you must have a little luck when you are picking two games a week that you don't like (and we just didn't have luck this year).  The postseason was profitable as well, as we went 4-2 including a Top Pick (3*) winner on the Colts in the Super Bowl. It was a great season and we hope you made some money following some of our picks and enjoyed our information.

Week 1
Lines Posted From Hilton Contest
Home Team First
Week 1: 2-3

Tampa Bay (-3) vs. Baltimore
Pick: Tampa Bay
Baltimore offense was less than stellar last year (ranked 21st and 22nd in rushing and passing respectively).  Even with the addition of Steve McNair we do not foresee the Ravens being able to move the ball successfully on the Bucs Defense.  We expect the running game to continue to struggle this year, especially with the injury of Jamal Lewis this week.  Baltimore's Defense was above average last year (99.4 against rush and  185.2 against pass).  The defense took some hits in the off season, but kept most of their roster and should be strong again, but the Bucs improvement on offense will be too much to handle for an aging Raven's Defense.
Last year the Bucs only gave up 94.7 rushing yards per game and 183.1 passing yards per game (best in league).  The Bucs did not have many changes on defense during the off-season so their defense should be very strong again this year.  Tampa needed some help last year on the offensive side of the ball and that is just what they got in the off-season.  Their offense of line was a problem last year and they resolved this by using their first two picks in the draft on lineman (Joseph and Trueblood) and making a couple of position switches on the line.  QB Chris Simms will also improve this year.  He finished last season after Griese was hurt and was 6-2 and completed 61% of his passes.  "Cadillac" Williams had a great rookie season with 1178 yards and 4.1 yards per carry despite battling injuries. With the improvement of the offensive line and a year under his belt he will only get better.  Our mathematical system has Tampa at -4 so the number is almost right on target.
Baltimore 27 Tampa Bay 0
Ugly! That's all we have to say.  Simms looked pitiful throwing 3 picks including one for a TD and throwing for only 116 yards.  He was benched midway through the 4th quarter. TB could not move the ball at all on a Ravens Defense that looked good. Bucs only had 142 total yards.  Baltimore's offense looked average having only 271 yards, but their defense looked strong.  TB was never in the game, the turnovers were too much to overcome.


New York Giants (+3 ½) vs. Indianapolis Colts
Pick: New York Giants
The Colts had an impressive season last year only to be stunned by the Pittsburgh Steelers in the playoffs.  Indy's offense was very good at scoring last year (2nd in league) but their running game was average (106 yards per game).  With the loss of James, Rhodes will have to fill the RB position and this will be tough to do (James had 1840 total yards last year).  Now that James is gone defenses can concentrate on stopping Peyton Manning who is one of the best QB's in the league.  The Colts scoring defense was very good last year (2nd in league), but taking a closer look they were 16th and 15th against the rush and pass.  With the losses of Thornton and Tripplett we expect the defense to struggle making it tough to stop the Giants offense.
The Giants offense was strong last year averaging 138.1 rushing yards per game an 223 passing yards per game (ranked 6th and 11th respectively).  The Giants offense should be improved this year with the addition of Sinorice Moss.  Barber had a great year with 1860 yards and should produce similar numbers this year.  Eli Manning had his share of struggles in the late last season throwing 10 int's in his last 6 games including 3 in a 23-0 rout at home versus Carolina in the Wild Card.  Manning will be improved this year; he worked hard in the off-season and practiced with his college QB coach.  The Giants run defense was average last year but their pass defense struggled (27th in league).  The Giants greatly improved this off-season in this category picking up Madison, Demps, and McQuarters.  They also picked up Arrington which will improve they run and pass defense.  New York also has an 11-6 trend favoring them week 1.  Our math system has this game at a pick therefore the line is skewed in favor of the Giants.
Indianapolis 26 New York Giants 21
This was a tough loss to swallow.  Statistically the NYG dominated the game outgaining the Colts 433 to 327 yards. Then came the heartbreaker at the end when the zebras called a terrible offense pass interference call, then Eli Manning threw a pick the next playto give Indy good field position.  Still, the Giants had a chance to cover, but Indy converted a crucial 3 and 2 with 2 minutes left and kicked a field goal for the back door cover.  Hopefully, the gambling gods will repay us later this season.


Carolina (-6) vs. Atlanta
Pick:  Atlanta  
WINNER
Carolina fell just short of a Super Bowl birth last year and this year finds themselves as the frontrunner to win the NFC Championship.  The Byeweekpicks.com supersystem has the game rated at right on the line Carolina favored by six.  But a main question of their team is their lack of depth , especially at the running back position.  Deshaun Foster last year lead the rushing offense to a mediocre season which had left them with a middle of the pack ranking.  Rookie DeAngelo Williams will prove to not be the support the Panthers are looking for in the rushing category for offense.  With a 4-0 perfect preseason, and many eyes watching over the Panthers, there is too much hype that this team has to live up to for the 2006 season.
Atlanta lost their final three games and four out of their last five contests in 2005 leaving them hungry for the 2006 season.  The Falcons, led by Michael Vick, should prosper their year and continue on their trend of being the number one offensive rushing team in the league.  The Falcons only improved their running offense with what Byeweekpicks.com was the best non-first round draft pick in running back Jerious Norwood for Mississippi State.  Their rushing defense, which last year ranked at the bottom of the league last year at 26 should be much improved with the additions of John Abraham and Lawyer Malloy.  These factors, combined with an 11-4-4 ATS trend over their past 19 games versus Carolina, the editors of Byeweekpicks.com are picking the HOTLANTA FALCONS.
Atlanta 20 Carlina 6
Atlanta came to play!  They dominated Carolina on both sides of the ball.   Offensively, Atlanta had 385 yards versus a Carolina defense that looked sluggish.  Carolina's O also looked weak having only 65 yards rushing and 150 passing versus an Atlanta defense that did not allow a touchdown.  Vick is trying to prove all the nay sayers wrong having a very good game rushing and passing.


Detroit (+6 1/2) vs. Seattle
Pick:  Seattle
The Byeweekpicks.com supersystem has the game rated as Seattle favored by six, which is current with the line.  This game and pick comes down to the inexperience of Detroit, as the team ended the 2005 season with plenty of holes to fill… a little too many for the editors of Byeweekpicks to believe there could be a turn around.  Although John Kitna is a vast improvement from the "Lion King" himself Joey Harrington, the team has too much ground to make up from the rest of the league.  The stability of this team should lie in a core group of receivers, but Kitna will not have enough protection to prove effective against a Seattle defense that ranked in the top ten in 2005.
It is no secret that the losing Super Bowl team does not have the hottest first part of the season.  With the core of the Seattle Seahawks remaining with the team, the Super Bowl runnerup is destined to put this trend to rest.  Shaun Alexander should have his best season to date, and the addition of Nate Burleson should balance out the offense.  This will in turn make for a more rounded offense and improve the only sign of weakness in their passing offense, which still ranked a respectable thirteen in the league.  The Hawks are riding a 9-2 ATS record in the month of September, and Byeweekpicks.com look for Seattle to roll in this game….BIG!
Seattle 9 Detroit 6   
What happened to Seattle's number one ranked offense that we saw last year, they looked very bad Sunday having only 91 yards rushing and unable to score a touchdown on Detroit's defense. Hasselbeck had a good game completing 25-of-30 for 210 yards.  The Seahawks got off to a rough start by having two field goals blocked and losing the football on an Alexander fumble on their first three drives.  Those would have been nice for the cover, but Seattle should have punched it in and never been in this position.


Oakland (+3) vs. San Diego
Pick:  San Diego
WINNER
The supersystem has San Diego favored by four, which is a slight advantage in comparison to the line.  Oakland has been plagued with question marks during the whole preseason, such as should Aaron Brooks take a back seat to number two quarterback Andew Walter.  Byeweekpicks.com has the answer for you, it simple does not matter.  The Raiders looked awful during the preseason, on all aspects that you could look bad in with the game of football.  Look for their defense to be slightly improved with additions to their secondary, but it is their struggling offense that has everyone worried.  Randy Moss will continue to be the most overrated wide receiver in the NFL and the Raiders will continue to rank in the bottom half of the league in offense, such as last years performance with only putting up 18.1 PPG.  Welcome back to the NFL Art Shell…
San Diego was by far the most talented team that did not make the playoffs in years.  Their numbers on both sides of the ball was impressive, ranking fifth overall in total offense and thirteenth in defense.  Look for the rushing offense of San Diego, led by LT to dominate the Raiders defense, which last year ranked 29th in rushing defense.  Phillip Rivers looked a little shaky in the preseason but showed enough to gain the confidence on the Byeweekpicks.com editors to give the Chargers the thumbs up in week one.  We are far from calling Rivers the next Dan Marino as some, but it does not matter who hands the ball off to LT, which is the key in this game.
San Diego 27 Oakland 0
Blowout city!  Diego dominated on both sides of the ball.  Oakland should not have even shown up.  The Chargers defense held Oakland to 129 total yards and had 9 sacks.  LT had a great game as usual with 131 yards on 31 carries.   Rivers didn't get a chance to show us much throwing just 11 times and completing 8 for 108 yards, but San Diego's running game and defense was enough to control the clock and ultimately the scoreboard.

Week 2
Lines Posted From Hilton Contest
Home Team First

Week 2: 5-0
Overall: 7-3

Cincinnati (-10 1/2) vs. Cleveland
Pick: Cincinnati
WINNER
Oh, the good old Cleveland Clowns.  They looked like the same old team that has been letting down the city for 4 decades.  With holes in the line as big as the Grand Canyon they are going to have a tough time protecting Frye and running the ball.  The Browns finally thought they could get some protection, but when the NFL's top off-season free agent Bentley got injured on the first play of practice their hope was deflated.  Cleveland did not show that they improved from last years offense (last in scoring in the league) only gaining 101 passing yards (30th in NFL) and 85 rushing yards (24th in NFL).  Their defense also looked poor against a New Orleans Saints offense that is average at best.  The Browns also have a tough time on the road  where they were 2-6 on the last season.
Cincinnati's offensive performance was not as good as expected last week, having 130 total yards less than they averaged last year.  So, look for them to bounce back BIG TIME this week.  Their defense was their weakness last year, but it looks to be improved this year.  The Bengals held the K.C. to 289 total yards (who led the league with 400 per game last year) and limited Larry Johnson to 68 rushing yards after he ran for 201 and 3 touchdowns in last year's meeting. Welcome the jungle boys!
Cincinnati 34 Cleveland 17
As expected, the Bengals dominated on both sides of the ball.  Cincinnati had 481 yards versus Cleveland 301 (surprised they gained this much).  Palmer threw for the second highest total of his career, 352 yards.  Cleveland never had a chance to win and looked out of sync the entire game.  They did have a backdoor cover opportunity in the 3rd quarter, but true to Browns form they could not stop the Bengals.  The win was in vain though because the Bengals lost center Rich Braham, safety Dexter Jackson, and LB David Pollack.


Philadelphia (-3) vs. New York Giants
Pick: New York Giants
WINNER
Philadelphia beat a sorry Houston team last week 24-10.  They moved the ball at will versus Houston, but so could a high school team, so it is no indication of what they will do versus the Giants defense.  Philadelphia defense looked mediocre against a pitiful Texan's offense.  Philadelphia is going to have a hard time scoring on a good NYG defense that allowed only 55 rushing yards against Indy.
The Giants looked like a top NFL team last week in their heartbreaking loss to the Colts.  Barber had 18 carries for 110 yards and Eli had a good performance(20-34, 247 yards) despite throwing a costly interception in the fourth quarter.  Look for an improved Eli Manning to bounce back against an unproven Eagles defense.  The Giants can't afford to go 0-2 in a NFC East that is going to be a tight race this year.
New York 30 Philadelphia 24
Wow!  Call the retribution for last week's Giants spread loss versus Indy.  The Giants trailed 24-7 going into the 4th quarter and the game was about over.  In the 4th the Giants outscored Philly 17-0 to take the game into overtime.  One touchdown in the 4th quarter included a fumble by the NYG on the 15 yard line that rolled into the end zone and was recovered by a Giant in the end zone…Nice!  The Giants threw a 31 yard bomb on 3rd down in OT to win the game.  That was gutsy!  But taking a closer look at the game it was much closer than the scoreboard showed at the end of the 3rd.  The total yards were close (NYG: 404 and Philly: 451) and each team had 1 turnover.   It should not have even been a blowout in the first place, but we'll take the great win!     


Atlanta (-5) vs. Tampa Bay
Pick: Atlanta
WINNER
Tampa Bay got shellacked last week 27-0 at home against the Baltimore Ravens.  Chris Simms looked like his old self throwing for 3 picks and throwing for only 116 yards.  Cadillac Williams, who was hampered by back problems, had only 8 carries for 22 yard.  The Bucs defense also looked weak giving up 27 points to a Baltimore offense that was very poor last year (although seemingly improved this year).
Atlanta had a great performance last week beating Carolina 20-6 on the road.   The Falcons defense looked stellar, revamped with John Abraham, held the Panthers to 65 yards rushing and no touchdowns.  Their offense also looked great rushing for 252 yards (ranked 1st in the NFL).  Vick looked good too, although his numbers aren't eye-popping, they never are.  He had Carolina's defense (which many predict to be the best in the league) on their heels all day.  Though Abraham and Kerney suffered minor injuries during the game, they are both hopeful to play.  This is also a double revenge game for Atlanta who dropped both to the Bucs last year, one of which knocked Atlanta out of the playoffs. HOTLANTA!
Atlanta 14 Tampa Bay 3
This was a sweater!  Tampa Bay should have never been in the position for a backdoor cover.  They were dominated the whole game. While Tampa is still searching for the end zone this year, Atlanta set a franchise record rushing for 306 yards versus the Bucs 40.  Simms looked like the did last week throwing three picks.  Atlanta missed three field goals, including one with three minutes to ice the cover, and had one blocked.  TB drove down the field getting down to the six yard line with 10 seconds left and going in for the backdoor, but true to form Simms threw an incomplete pass to end the game.  Whew…that was close, but it shouldn't have been.


San Francisco (+3) vs. St. Louis
Pick: San Francisco
WINNER
St. Louis is coming off a win as underdogs at home versus Denver.  The Rams offense gained 337 yards against a Denver defense that was tough last season.  But, they were unable to score a touchdown resulting in 6 Jeff Wilkins field goals.  With the loss of veteran center Andy McCollum last week look for a hole in the line and problems with quarterback exchange.  Their rushing defense looked bad allowing 161 rushing yard.   Their pass defense on paper looks good, but it was more a result of Plummer playing poorly than the Rams defense playing well.  When taking a close look at the game it's easy to see whey they won.  Denver had 5 turnovers to St. Louis' zero.  That was too much to overcome.  St. Louis is getting too much respect to be a divisional road underdog especially on grass where they find it tough to win.
San Francisco had an impressive week 1 performance despite losing 34-27 to Arizona.   Alex Smith had a solid game, throwing for 288 yards and no interceptions.  He looks like he is becoming the type of QB they expected when the drafted him.  The 49ers running game also looked good which I expect to get better against a St. Louis defense that has not showed us much.  Statistically the 49ers played better than Arizona, but because of turnovers and time of possession they could not get the victory.  Look for the Niners to control the clock more this week by running the ball more efficiently and getting the division victory!
San Francisco 20 St. Louis 13
It is obvious that San Fran is an underrated team.  That's why we jumped on them early as a home dog before the oddsmakers realize they are not the same team from last year.  The 49ers outgained St. Louis by 100 yards and held Bulger and his strong core of recievers to 147 yards and sacked Bulger six times.  Alex Smith looks like he is getting comfortable in the pocket throwing for 237 yards.  Gore made the SF offense very balanced running for 127 yards.  They looked like the 49ers of the 1980's...ok not quite, but we'll take the win!


Seattle (-7) vs. Arizona
Pick: Seattle
WINNER
Arizona has had the most hype of any NFL team over the off-season.  With the dynamic offense that includes Boldin, Fitzgerald, and with the acquisition of Edgerin James they are expected to make noise in the NFC.  Last week they beat San Francisco 34-27 (not covering the point spread). Warner had a great day of passing (301 yards) but James was sub-par running for 76 yards on 23 carries.  He is going to have a tougher time this year without the strong offensive line that he became accustomed to in Indy, especially against a Seattle rushing defense that allowed only 38 yards rushing last week.  Arizona's defense looked unchanged from last year week giving up 393 total yards (30th in league) to an average San Francisco offense and its going to be tough to stop Seattle's prolific offense.
Seattle had a disappointing game last week only defeating Detroit 9-6, so look for them to bounce back big time this week.  Seattle's offense was unable to punch it in the end zone having resort to 3 field goals.  Hasselbeck looked good (25-30, 210 yards) but S. Alexander struggled rushing for only 51 yards.  Alexander will have a big game against the Cardinal's poor defense.  Last year he owned Arizona rushing for 313 yards on 45 carries.  Seattle will shut down Arizona's run game leaving them one dimensional- Seattle held James to 41 yards rushing last season.  Seattle also acquired Deion Branch this week.  It is still unsure if he will play, and if he does it will be a boost to an already good wide receiver core.  Look for seattle to bounce back big time from their disappointing showing last week...Blow out City!
Seattle 21 Arizona 10
As predicted, Arizona's offense would not produce as expected.  The Cards had only 256 total yards (versus Seattle's 341) and Warner looked like a statue in the pocket.  Seattle's offense did look out of sync at times and not as effeicient as the NFC champs of last year, but they were still goid enough to overtake a very weak Arizona defense.  Seattle had control the entire game.  Arizona did have the ball in the 4th looking for the backdoor, but Seattle's strong defense held them.  It was a nice victory for a great week...5-0!



Week 3
Lines Posted From Hilton Contest
Home Team First

Week 3: 2-2-1
Overall: 9-5-1 (64%)

Indianapolis (-7) vs. Jacksonville
Pick: Jacksonville
Push
Indianapolis is not the same team as last year.  With the loss of Edgerin James, their running game has been struggling (20th in the NFL).  It will only get worse versus a Jags run D allowing only 57 yards per game. Of course, Manning looks like his old self, but look for a brutal Jags defense to shut him down.  Indy's defense has been their weak spot the last few years and it looks to be the same this year.  They are ranked 27th in the league versus the run.  Look for an improving Jags offense to expose the Colts struggling defense.  With the injury of Freeney on D the Colts will find it even harder to stop Jacksonville.
Jacksonville is getting no respect, and they are on of the best teams in the league.  They have been home dogs both of the first two weeks.  They have a tough punch-you-in-the-face defense that will manhandle the soft Colt offense.  The Jags give up only 181 yards passing per game and with the pressure Manning is going to feel look at that Colt passing game to struggle.  The Jags are also 16-5 ATS after scoring 15 or less points the week before.  The Jags will earn the public's respect after this game!
Indianapolis 21 Jacksonville 14
First things first, there's no crying in bettine!  Especially when you push.  But it was so close to a win.  Kickers are going to be the death of us.  How can a professional kicker with only one job miss a 24 yard field goal?  We don't know either.  To make it worse it hit the post.  The game was very evenly matched (297 yards for Jacksonville versus 272 yards for the Colts).  The only difference in the game was an 82 yard punt return by the Colts.  It was a dog fight, but we'll take the push (1/2 point in Hilton Contest).

Buffalo (-6) vs. NY Jets
Pick: NY Jets
WINNER
The Buffalo Bills are coming into Week 3 off a huge divisional win on the road versus Miami.  Only problem with that win is the fact that it was against Miami, and by now I think the word is out that Dante Culpepper being how should we put this…not good.  The Bills passing defense ranks in the top ten in the league, (7th -163 YPG), but do not let that fool you, because one of those games was against the depressing Dolphins.  Adding to their defensive trouble, Spikes being question leaves a big hole, physically and mentally in the linebacking core.  The Bills offense has not been great this year and Losman is struggling (second to last in NFL).  It is going to be hard for then to score enough to cover the 6.  In addition, the Buffalo Bills are 6-17 ATS after a division win of ten or more points.  Buffalo will come out flat, and stay flat until the end of the game.  The public is jumping on the Buffalo bandwagon to early.
In contrast, the Jets are underrated!  Looking at a hard loss last week, the Jets are 18-6 ATS coming off a home divisional loss.  Look for Chad Pennington to have a huge game.  Right now, the Jets have the number three passing offense in the league.  With the J-E-T-S, people often forget that when there was a healthy Pennington, the Jets, Jets, Jets were a Super Bowl contender.  Not by any means we are saying the gets are even a playoff team as of yet, but with 294 YPG in the air, against the Bills, Pennington will be HUGE.  The Jets rushing offense has been struggling (19th in the league) but look for this to pick up against a Buffalo D (25th in rushing defense) without Spikes.
NY Jets 28 Buffalo 20
As expected, the Bills came out flat and the Jets were able to get a divisional win on the road.  The Bills actually out gained the Jets by 200 yards, but the turnovers were too much to overcome.  Surprise, surprise, Losman had 3 turnovers.  Go J-E-T-S!

Houston (-4) vs. Washington
Pick: Washington
WINNER
The Texans do not have much proverbial light at the end of the tunnel.  They rank in the bottom half of the league in every category one could imagine, with a highlight being their passing offense ranked 19th in the league with 181 YPG.  Their passing defense ranks 32nd in the league, which could be a little misleading due to the fact that last week they had the task to face Peyton Manning.
Can you really picture a Joe Gibbs team starting a season 0-3?  Yeah, neither could we.  The Washington Redskins are not only the non-politically correct team in the league (excuse us, one of our editors is a sensitive Native American), but they are 6-0 coming off back to back straight up losses.  They also have a 7-2 ATS trend working in their favor after losing a game by more than 15 points.  Washington should elevate their rushing offense by the "true return" of Clinton Portis, which looks to dominate the rushing defense of the Texans, who give up over 120 YPG.  This should be a pick-up-the-pace game for Brunell, but again the key to this game is the Texans horrid rushing defense.  Welcome to byeweekpicks.com Mario Williams!
Washington 31 Houston 15
Domination in every aspect of the game!  The Skins out gained Houston by 240 yards and had the ball for 38 minutes versus the Texans 22 minutes.  Brunell looked revitalized passing for 261 yards on 24-of-27 passing.  The Skins D held the Texans to 61 yards.  It was never a game.

Cleveland (+6 1/2) vs. Baltimore
Pick: Baltimore
Cleveland, Cleveland, Cleveland.  Poor Charlie Frye.  I don't know where to begin, so let's just start with injuries.  Droughns, Jurevicius, Russell, Baxter.  All of these injuries are just too much to overcome.  The best statistic on paper for the Browns is their passing offense ranking, which will soon be on the decline due to Jurvecius being with the fact that Droughns was the only back they have which quasi led to a balanced offense.  With Droughns, the Browns ranked 26th in the league for rushing offense, with only 71 YPG.  And now going up against Baltimore's stingy rushing defense, there is no good news for Baltimore.
Before we get too much farther into the analysis of the Baltimore Ravens, the editors of byeweekpicks.com would like to get the following message out to make sure we are all on the same page.  WE DO NOT THINK BALITMORE IS A GOOD TEAM.  Regardless of what some people want to tell you, the Ravens still cannot move the ball in the air, being ranked 28th in the league with passing offense, only putting up 147 YPG.  Their defense is phenomenal giving up only 33 YPG on the ground and 120 YPG in the air, which is more than good enough for the Browns.  But let's be honest here, they played Tampa Bay and Oakland… come on.  But, Cleveland is on the same level as these teams, so we see a similar outcome.  And on a small foreshadowing event, look for byeweekpicks.com to be picking against Baltimore in the not so distant future.
Baltimore 15 Cleveland 14
In true Browns fashion, they found a way to lose and let the city that loves them so much down again.  They are definitely the unluckiest franchise in sports.  With a 14-12 lead with 2 minutes left Frye threw a pick in the end zone, which lead to a game winning Ravens field goal.  Baltimore looked weak the entire game.  Their offense was never in sync, and their "great" defense looked like a practice squad.  The cover was never in question.  We did not expect the Browns to look so good on both sides of the ball.  They were able to move the ball with ease on the Ravens D.  But, of course they couldn't get it done in the end, but they did just enough to cover.

San Francisco (+6) vs. Philadelphia
Pick: San Francisco
Philadelphia gave up a 17 point lead in the 4th quarter last week, to help add fuel to the fire of what was a 5-0 week for byeweekpicks.com.  Some people say the Giants won by the skin of their teeth, and had a few lucky breaks.  That's a long flight and a long time to think flying to San Francisco.  Let us tell you what byeweekpicks.com has to think, Philly is only minimally improved from their 6-10 team last year.  With Kearse being out for the season, two corners of Hood and Sheppard being out, look for their defense to come out flat.  Real flat.  Their rushing defense was ranked 11th in the league, but look for that to go on the decline now that Kearse is out.  The loss of two corners does not help their passing defense, which is current giving up 245 YPG.  The Eagles passing offense is ranked second in the league (328YPG), but with a Sherlock Holmes quick glance, most of ranking came off of a Houston team, which is not the defensive powerhouse of the NFL.
Someone please give San Francisco some RESPECT!  Gore has found a new role in the offense on the 49ers and led them to averaging 117 YPG.  Alex Smith is showing why he deserved to be drafted number one and Vernon Davis is showing early signs of being a stud.  The passing offense of the San Fran is 6th in the league, throwing nearly 260 YPG, and look for that number to go up when facing a disheveled Philly secondary.  There is also a supersystem NFL trend dating back to 1982 that is a 65% winner in the 49ers favor.  Last year, Philadelphia spanked, and I mean spanked San Fran 42-3 and look for this game to be revenge from last year… and a huge momentum swing for the 49ers exciting Steve Young so much he will spill his morning coffee with that awkward left hand of his.
Philadelphia 38 San Francisco 24
Philly bounced back after their tough loss last week to spank the Niners.  McNabb had a good game throwing for 296 yards.  Smith also played solid throwing for 293 yards with no picks.  S.F. got down early and could not come back.  When they finally were trying to make a run, Gore fumbled on the 1 and the Eagles returned it 98 yards for a touchdown.  But, in the end Philly's offense was too much to handle.




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